Chapter 63: Gambling on Needleheads 5

  The 13-year-old ponytailed girl had a look of bewilderment on her face.

  With her small mouth open and her head tilted, the 13-year-old ponytail girl thought for a while before finally saying: "It feels like... it feels like..."

  "It feels so intense!" The 13-year-old ponytail girl tugged at her ponytail in frustration: "I have no idea what you guys are talking about."

  "Is this method really likely to win?" The tone of the 14th Moe haircut male was much better than before, but there was still a hint of doubt mixed in.

  "But if this method really makes the good guys win, why didn't the fourth thief take out his ticket? Was he really scared? I'm thinking..." The man with the messy hair, No. 14, looked uncertain: "What if, I mean what if, the thieves know how to break this method?"

  "In short, I completely don't understand. Since the 15th and 16th said this method is feasible, it should be feasible, right? It's impossible for there to be five thieves on the scene!" The 14th, a man with a messy haircut, hesitated: "The 15th and 16th, you'd better confirm, are you really confident? Won't one of them be an idiot following the thief, or two idiots making a reckless decision?"

  $$The old man in the 15th suit adjusted his glasses and coughed twice: "This method is definitely no problem. However..."

  "Just like No. 12 said, there are some things that I definitely won't talk about, at least not in this circle." The old man in the worn-out Western suit suddenly paused: "When I say this, it's not because I know No. 12! In fact...I don't even think No. 12 is a good person. No. 12's words only show that he has a good mental quality, nothing else! If he really knew the specifics of this method, why didn't he speak out earlier?"

  "On the contrary! Before No. 12, I thought he was a thief who wanted to cheat on the vote!" The old man in the worn-out suit No. 15 hesitated for a moment and shook his head again: "Anyway, whether he is a thief or not is unimportant now. Don't trust your intuition! Intuition is often the most accurate but also the least accurate. In short, this method will do."

  "Let's keep the votes tied then. By the way, on the 16th, don't reveal those clues either, who knows the thief might foolishly jump into the first trap." The old man in the worn-out suit added one more reminder: "Since it's really a tie now, doctor, remember not to stab people from both teams tonight, just stab others, anyone will do! Just give them a random shot! If you think someone looks like the thief, give him a shot!"

  "Ah? Oh. Alright, I won't say it out loud." An Yi slightly paused for a moment, responding to the reminder from Old Man No. 15 in his worn-out western suit.

  It's just...

  When, apart from the pale yellow suit-clad young man No. 2 and the sable coat-clad man No. 4, all the others retreated back into the darkness, the lantern once again floated before An Yi's eyes...

  An Yi's face couldn't help but reveal a hint of fragmented thoughts.

  As for this method, in An Yi's view, it is indeed very beneficial to the good people camp. However...

  Thieves don't necessarily have no way out!

  But can An Yi say it out loud?

  An Yi even if he wants to say it out loud, he also has to know!

  Intuitively, An Yi felt that this method was definitely not a sure-win approach!

  Firstly, this bloody game is cruel but absolutely fair. So in this mode, there won't be a situation where the thief must lose! There's always a way out!

  Secondly, in the words of Old West Suit Man No. 15, An Yi also felt that this method was not necessarily a losing one for thieves! After all, Old West Suit Man No. 15 had always said that it was very likely to win, but not necessarily a must-win!

  But... but there was no time, An Yi couldn't even think of a way out for the thief!

  But Anyi can be sure that this method is most beneficial to good people! Otherwise, Anyi would not agree with this approach.

  Of course, in this method, there are indeed some pitfalls for thieves that An Yi has discovered.

  For example...

  Thieves absolutely cannot send out that hidden thief special ID on the second day, which is the next day. Otherwise... must lose!

  If the thief gives a special ID card to his hidden accomplice on the second day, he will only provoke the real special forces!

  Even if the thief issued a fake doctor's certificate the next day, he would still lose for sure.

  Never underestimate the combat power of doctors! Doctors can kill people! If thieves dare to rob a doctor again on the second day, the doctor will definitely arrive before the fourth night and inject two needles to kill the hidden fourth thief!

  Upon careful consideration, An Yi felt that the old man in the worn-out western suit on the 15th was being vague and ambiguous, actually hiding this trap.

  Even more, An Yi dares to confirm that on the second day, no matter which team issued a special ID card, the old man in the 15th old suit will appear to remind him of special work.

  For example, after issuing a sniper certificate, remind the sniper to fire; after issuing a doctor's certificate, remind the doctor to work.

  Of course, if the special identity card is genuine, then this reminder naturally becomes irrelevant.

  But if it's false... Hehe, this reminder will be the thief's demise!

  In An Yi's view, this method was really very disadvantageous for thieves.

  The official report's verification of the person is definitely not wrong, but thieves are not allowed!

  A thief team, if they make a mistake in verifying someone, the entire team that appears on the surface will be destroyed along with them! After all, if they made a mistake in verifying someone, that person will definitely expose the matter! Then the thieves will be exposed.

  So...

  The thief wants to win, first get the second day off, don't send the wrong person! Then the third day off, also don't send the wrong person!

  Then... again expecting the second day, the third day, no special ID card was issued!

  In this way, the thief may have a chance to win!

  But what's the probability of thieves getting away with it?

  It seems that there are only two days left for the thief to slip away, and the probability of him doing so is quite high. However... however, in reality, this probability is actually not that great!

  Two teams, each with four people searching. The yamen's search of the four people is short of a special one, while the thief's side must have more, making it harder to mix in; the yamen's search of the four people has more specials, increasing the possibility of verifying identities.

  So, whether those four people investigated by the yamen were many or few, or even none at all, is of no importance.

  So the possibility of thieves passing through two white days is 25% times 25% times 25%. The actual probability is less than 5%!

  And... and that's being generous!

  What if the hidden thief is not among the four people being searched?

  What if the thief has already hidden the fourth thief and issued a people's certificate? Just like the woman in evening dress on the 5th is that thief!

  That probability must be multiplied by another 25%. So... the probability of a thief sneaking past is now so low that it can't even be described with a hair's breadth! It can only be described as infinitesimal!

  Of course... a thief can also take a risk and bluff with a special identity. If the bluff is successful, it's almost a guaranteed win.

  In the remaining six civilians, two special ones go to guess who is special, this... looks like an 8% chance, 12.5% hope. But in fact, this difficulty is a geometric square of 12.5%! (Math teacher taught, can't calculate, if there are high-achieving students, you can try calculating the probability of guessing one sniper or one doctor among 1 sniper, 1 doctor, and 6 civilians.) However... however, this seemingly hopeless method for thieves is still a way out for them. Only...

  However, An Yi has not come up with a specific solution yet.

  The brief voting time is over. Due to the reasons of No. 2 light yellow suit youth and No. 4 sable coat man on PK stage, the vote type has changed to two votes against two votes.

  Although it was like this, it indeed entered the dark night in a state of no one dying.

  Looking at the bonfire that had just gone out, An Wei's eyebrows furrowed.

  Unable to figure out the thief's escape route, An Yi remained uneasy. Only by understanding the thief's thoughts could they make preparations.

  Looking around at the darkness, An Yi recalled the words of the old man in the worn-out suit No. 15, trying to find some clues from his words.

  Wait! Why must we follow the train of thought of this old-fashioned man in suit No. 15?

  An Yi's face changed color.

  The speech of the old man in the 15th suit sounds like it's helping the good people's camp, but is he necessarily a good person?

  If he is a thief...

  An Yi's face was unpredictable.

  Furrowing his brow in thought for a moment, An Yi's expression gradually relaxed.

  The old man in the 15th suit shouldn't be a thief! It's very likely that he isn't a thief!

  If he is a thief, on the first night, he must have instructed his fellow thieves not to jump wildly.

  After all, if he was a thief, it would be impossible to determine that there was no one among the others on the scene who was very familiar with this pattern!

  What he said is indeed beneficial for the camp of good people.

  Even if there was a gap that the thief could drill through, how could he be certain that no one else on the scene knew about it? If someone else did know and pointed out the loophole, wouldn't he be smashing his own foot with a rock and paying for it with the lives of three fellow thieves?

  Even if the thief gambled psychologically, it's impossible to gamble on such a large scale! With the lives of these three thieves' companions, no one in the casino must have been familiar with this pattern!

  Since it's like this...

  Taking the definition of No. 15 old-fashioned western-style man as a good person as the basis, and analyzing it according to his words...

  Thieves must have a way out! But where is the way out?

  An Yi's eyebrows furrowed deeper and deeper, unconsciously putting himself in the role of a thief.

  Since this method is feasible, it means that thieves are also unfamiliar with this pattern, otherwise they would not be so reckless.

  So the thief should also be unable to think of the best way out in a short time. What will the thief do?

  Unless...

  An Yi's eyes twitched at the corner.

  If we consider the old man in the 15th suit as a good person, then the thief must not want him to take control! At least, he doesn't want him to continue arranging specific steps for the second day!

  So... kill the old man in the worn-out suit No. 15?

  This guess had just floated into Anyi's mind when it was quickly dispelled!

  Knife 15th old-fashioned western-style man is meaningless! Because there are still last words! Can't bear to seal off the last words of the 15th old-fashioned western-style man who is not in the official team?

  That's ridiculous...

  Who fears crime? The thieves on the surface fear crime. Those who purely throw away three lives have paid too great a price. And...

  And there's also An Yi! The thief doesn't know that An Yi is a fake tooth and a half-wit!

  That thief No. 15 old western suit man, got cut down together with An Yi!

  Can't use the thieves on the surface of the thief team to intimidate, have to use the fourth thief to intimidate and seal off the old 15th western suit man and An Yi, plus give away two days of verification opportunity?

  At that time, two teams will send another pair of people to verify, and it's too easy to distinguish between true and false!

  So... if this method doesn't work, what other methods can be used?

  An Yi's eyes sparkled.

  Killed himself in fear of punishment, and his last words were sealed?

  An idea suddenly flashed into An Yi's mind.

  If the thief doesn't know the best way to break in, can they just use brute force?